Trans Narvavs
Flora Tallinn
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 9/8/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora Tallinn · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (13%), 0-2 (12%), 0-4 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trans Narva 2-2 Flora Tallinn
Original prediction
Flora Tallinn
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.66 | 19.3% | 8.8% | -10.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.0% | 13.8% | -9.2 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 57.7% | 77.4% | 19.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–313%
- 2.0–212%
- 3.0–410%
Predicted outcome
Flora Tallinn
Probability
77.4%
Model confidence
77.4%
Flora Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80