Trans Narvavs
FC Levadia Tallinn
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Levadia Tallinn · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Trans Narva 0-3 FC Levadia Tallinn, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Trans Narva 1-1 FC Levadia Tallinn
Original prediction
FC Levadia Tallinn
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.82 | 9.2% | 3.3% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 6.05 | 15.0% | 7.6% | -7.4 pts |
| Away | 1.20 | 75.8% | 89.1% | 13.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.3 pts
Projected Score
Trans Narva 0–3 FC Levadia Tallinn
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
FC Levadia Tallinn
Probability
89.1%
Model confidence
89.1%
FC Levadia Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 19 · GA 2 · avg 3.80/0.40