Tranmerevs
Nottingham Forest U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/9/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tranmere · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tranmere are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nottingham Forest U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nottingham Forest U21 hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Tranmere holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tranmere
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Tranmere has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40