GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/10/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tranmere · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tranmere are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Leicester City U21 are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 7.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tranmere hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 23.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Tranmere holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tranmere

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

Tranmere has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TranmereDWLWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Leicester City U21L

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/7.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
TranmereLeicester City U21
0.0Attack22.2
66.7Defence0.0
11.1Form33.3
29.5Power23.0
1.92xG1.22
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