GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 12/2/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fleetwood Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tranmere are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Fleetwood Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Fleetwood Town hold a 29.9-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Fleetwood Town holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fleetwood Town

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Fleetwood Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TranmereWDWWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Fleetwood TownLWDDL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
TranmereFleetwood Town
0.0Attack75.0
66.7Defence50.0
11.1Form58.3
29.5Power59.4
1.43xG1.80
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