GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 8/20/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tranmere · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tranmere are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Everton U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Everton U21 hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Tranmere holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tranmere

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Tranmere has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TranmereDWDWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Everton U21WLLDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
TranmereEverton U21
0.0Attack11.1
66.7Defence55.6
11.1Form33.3
29.5Power37.2
1.48xG1.26
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