Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blackpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tranmere are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Blackpool are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Blackpool hold a 38.5-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Blackpool holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Blackpool
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Blackpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00