Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barrow · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Tranmere are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Barrow are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Barrow hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.0% in the League Two, while Barrow holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Barrow
Probability
34.0%
Model confidence
34.0%
Barrow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20