Tranmerevs
Accrington ST
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/8/2024, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Accrington ST · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tranmere are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Accrington ST are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Accrington ST hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 57.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Accrington ST holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Accrington ST
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Accrington ST has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60