GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 3/17/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trakai II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Trakai II are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Neptūną Klaipėda are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Neptūną Klaipėda hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (55.3 v 61.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the 1 Lyga, while Trakai II holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trakai II

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

Trakai II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Trakai IIL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Neptūną KlaipėdaWLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/2.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
Trakai IINeptūną Klaipėda
52.9Attack47.4
62.1Defence64.9
49.4Form66.7
55.3Power61.7
1.17xG1.02
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