Traiskirchenvs
Mattersburg SV 2020
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - Ost · 10/23/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Traiskirchen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Traiskirchen 2-1 Mattersburg SV 2020
Original prediction
Traiskirchen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 61.8% | 49.0% | -12.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 20.4% | 24.7% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 5.05 | 17.8% | 26.3% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Traiskirchen
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Traiskirchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80