Tractor Sazivs
Sanat Naft
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 10/22/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tractor Sazi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tractor Sazi 1-0 Sanat Naft, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tractor Sazi 3-0 Sanat Naft
Original prediction
Tractor Sazi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 74.7% | 63.6% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.89 | 18.6% | 25.8% | 7.2 pts |
| Away | 13.64 | 6.7% | 10.6% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.1 pts
Projected Score
Tractor Sazi 1–0 Sanat Naft
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Tractor Sazi
Probability
63.6%
Model confidence
63.6%
Tractor Sazi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60