Tractor Sazivs
Esteghlal FC
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 10/8/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tractor Sazi 0-0 Esteghlal FC, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tractor Sazi 1-1 Esteghlal FC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 37.5% | 34.6% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.3% | 33.3% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 32.1% | 32.0% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.00 · Draw 2.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Projected Score
Tractor Sazi 0–0 Esteghlal FC
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.3%
Model confidence
34.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Tractor SaziLLWDW
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Esteghlal FCWWDDD
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Tractor SaziEsteghlal FC
38.1Attack42.9
95.2Defence95.2
76.2Form71.4
71.7Power70.4
0.69xG0.64