GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tractor Sazi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Tractor Sazi 0-0 Al Shamal

Original prediction

Tractor Sazi

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4638.2%36.7%-1.4 pts
Draw3.2728.7%28.1%-0.5 pts
Away2.8233.2%35.1%2.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Tractor Sazi

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

Tractor Sazi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tractor SaziDLLWD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Al ShamalLWWDD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tractor SaziAl Shamal
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.44xG1.43
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