Trabzonsporvs
Heart Of Midlothian
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 10/22/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trabzonspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trabzonspor 2-0 Heart Of Midlothian
Original prediction
Trabzonspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 74.7% | 51.7% | -23.0 pts |
| Draw | 6.19 | 15.1% | 23.7% | 8.5 pts |
| Away | 9.19 | 10.2% | 24.6% | 14.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Trabzonspor
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Trabzonspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20