Trabzonsporvs
Galatasaray
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 9/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Galatasaray · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trabzonspor 4-0 Galatasaray
Original prediction
Galatasaray
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.06 | 30.4% | 34.1% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 25.3% | 25.3% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 44.4% | 40.7% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Galatasaray
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Galatasaray has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40