Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VJS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
TPV are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while VJS are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and VJS hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Ykkönen, while VJS holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VJS
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
VJS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60