Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PKKU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
TPV 0-2 PKKU
Original prediction
PKKU
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 40.0% | 30.0% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.5% | 20.9% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.5% | 49.1% | 13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
PKKU
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
PKKU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TPVWDDLW
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
PKKUDDWDD
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TPVPKKU
47.6Attack60.3
39.7Defence52.4
38.1Form50.8
43.4Power55.4
1.44xG2.11