Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PKKU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
TPV are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while PKKU are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and PKKU hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the Ykkönen, while PKKU holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PKKU
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
9.5%
PKKU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40