TPVvs
KuPS Akatemia
COMPLETEDFinland · Ykkönen · 9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TPV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
TPV 4-2 KuPS Akatemia
Original prediction
TPV
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.5% | 49.3% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.6% | 19.7% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 28.9% | 31.0% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
TPV
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
TPV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TPVLWDDL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
KuPS AkatemiaLWDLL
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TPVKuPS Akatemia
45.5Attack56.1
39.4Defence22.7
36.4Form22.7
42.2Power35.5
2.36xG1.86