YkkönenYkkönen
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:36
TPV

TPV

Home
W
31
Full time
KuPS Akatemia

KuPS Akatemia

Away
D
Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
TPV(38%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
TPV
38%
Draw
35%
KuPS Akatemia
27%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
TPV
34
KuPS Akatemia
73
Defence
TPV
91
KuPS Akatemia
27
Momentum
TPV
100
KuPS Akatemia
33
Danger (xG)
TPV
0.90
KuPS Akatemia
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (TPV)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (KuPS Akatemia)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (TPV)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (KuPS Akatemia)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
TPVTPV
WLD
KuPS AkatemiaKuPS Akatemia
LDLL

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
TPV38%
Draw35%
KuPS Akatemia27%

TPV leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

TPV head into this in Ykkönen fixture at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass in mixed form (W), while KuPS Akatemia arrive in mixed form (D). TPV have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for KuPS Akatemia over 1 games.

The model rates TPV's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 KuPS Akatemia defence, and KuPS Akatemia's attack at 73/100 against a 91/100 TPV backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

TPV have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. KuPS Akatemia have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between TPV and KuPS Akatemia in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects TPV to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: TPV 3782%, Draw 3500%, KuPS Akatemia 2718%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

TPV

TPV

W
vs JJK
5 Jul 2026
10
L
@ VJS
29 Jun 2026
12
D
vs OLS
16 May 2026
22
KuPS Akatemia

KuPS Akatemia

L
vs Tampere United
4 Jul 2026
23
D
@ OLS
28 Jun 2026
22
L
@ Inter Turku II
17 May 2026
24
L
vs Honka
13 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win TPV vs KuPS Akatemia?

GoalVio's model predicts TPV to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for TPV vs KuPS Akatemia?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in TPV vs KuPS Akatemia?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in TPV vs KuPS Akatemia?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more