Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TPV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
TPV are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while KPV-j are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and TPV hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 20.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Ykkönen, while TPV holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
TPV
Probability
72.3%
Model confidence
9.1%
TPV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20