Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HPS W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
TPS are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while HPS W are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and HPS W hold a 27.4-point power-rating edge (30.9 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HPS W holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HPS W
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
HPS W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00