Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VPS II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
TP-47 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while VPS II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and VPS II hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the Kakkonen - Lohko C, while VPS II holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VPS II
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
VPS II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40