TP-47vs
Vaajakoski
COMPLETEDFinland · Kakkonen - Lohko C · 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TP-47 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
TP-47 5-0 Vaajakoski
Original prediction
TP-47
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.0% | 46.0% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.5% | 19.3% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.5% | 34.7% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
TP-47
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
TP-47 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TP-47LWLWW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
VaajakoskiDLLWL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TP-47Vaajakoski
48.5Attack59.1
37.9Defence25.8
43.9Form37.9
45.3Power43.1
2.47xG2.10