Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kraft · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
TP-47 are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Kraft are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kraft hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Kakkonen - Lohko C, while Kraft holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kraft
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Kraft has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/2.33