TP-47vs
JS Hercules
COMPLETEDFinland · Kakkonen - Lohko C · 9/11/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TP-47 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
TP-47 0-1 JS Hercules
Original prediction
TP-47
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.4% | 57.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.44 | 20.4% | 17.5% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 4.10 | 22.1% | 25.1% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
TP-47
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
TP-47 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TP-47WWLWL
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
JS HerculesLWLDL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TP-47JS Hercules
54.4Attack54.4
36.8Defence22.8
45.6Form36.8
47.3Power39.1
2.92xG1.94