Toulousevs
Union St. Gilloise
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/30/2023, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Toulouse are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Union St. Gilloise are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Union St. Gilloise hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20