Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toulouse · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Toulouse 2-3 PAU
Original prediction
Toulouse
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Toulouse
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Toulouse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ToulouseWDLDL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PAUWLDDL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ToulousePAU
44.4Attack66.7
55.6Defence33.3
44.4Form44.4
51.1Power47.9
1.92xG1.61