Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toulouse · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Toulouse 0-2 Lyon
Original prediction
Toulouse
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Toulouse
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Toulouse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ToulouseLWDDW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LyonDWLLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ToulouseLyon
41.2Attack48.0
54.9Defence46.1
42.2Form52.0
47.9Power51.0
1.42xG1.21