Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toulon · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Toulon 1-0 Troyes II
Original prediction
Toulon
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Toulon
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Toulon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ToulonLWDDD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Troyes IIWLWLD
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
ToulonTroyes II
11.1Attack0.0
66.7Defence33.3
22.2Form16.7
36.4Power21.0
1.35xG0.95