Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tottenham · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Tottenham are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Qarabag are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 70.2 against 71.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Tottenham holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tottenham
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Tottenham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00