Tottenhamvs
IF elfsborg
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 1/30/2025, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tottenham · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Tottenham are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while IF elfsborg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tottenham hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Tottenham holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tottenham
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Tottenham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20