TottenhamvsAZ Alkmaar

Tottenham are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AZ Alkmaar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tottenham hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Tottenham holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.