Tottenhamvs
AZ Alkmaar
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/24/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tottenham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Tottenham are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AZ Alkmaar are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tottenham hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Tottenham holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tottenham
Probability
64.2%
Model confidence
64.2%
Tottenham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80