Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tottenham · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tottenham are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AS Roma are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tottenham hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Tottenham holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tottenham
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Tottenham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60