GGOALVIO

England · FA WSL · 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tottenham Hotspur W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Tottenham Hotspur W 1-6 London City Lionesses W

Original prediction

Tottenham Hotspur W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 06:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4537.1%43.2%6.1 pts
Draw3.2428.1%25.8%-2.3 pts
Away2.6134.9%31.0%-3.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–07%

Predicted outcome

Tottenham Hotspur W

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

Tottenham Hotspur W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tottenham Hotspur WWWDWD

GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
London City Lionesses WWWWWL

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tottenham Hotspur WLondon City Lionesses W
100.0Attack75.0
83.3Defence66.7
83.3Form75.0
84.0Power72.5
1.85xG1.33
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