Tottenham Hotspur Wvs
Aston Villa W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 9/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tottenham Hotspur W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tottenham Hotspur W 4-0 Aston Villa W
Original prediction
Tottenham Hotspur W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.3% | 58.6% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 21.4% | 22.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 5.25 | 17.2% | 19.3% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Tottenham Hotspur W
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
58.6%
Tottenham Hotspur W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60