GGOALVIO

England · FA WSL · 10/24/2026, 11:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tottenham Hotspur W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Tottenham Hotspur W 1-2 Arsenal W

Original prediction

Tottenham Hotspur W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.8918.7%41.4%22.8 pts
Draw4.3920.8%23.0%2.3 pts
Away1.5160.6%35.5%-25.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

22.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–07%

Predicted outcome

Tottenham Hotspur W

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Tottenham Hotspur W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tottenham Hotspur WLLWWD

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Arsenal WDLDLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Tottenham Hotspur WArsenal W
100.0Attack27.8
22.2Defence61.1
55.6Form33.3
54.3Power43.7
2.09xG1.33
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