Tottenham Hotspur U21vs
Manchester City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tottenham Hotspur U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 5-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tottenham Hotspur U21 4-2 Manchester City U21
Original prediction
Tottenham Hotspur U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.51 | 25.6% | 53.5% | 27.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.30 | 20.9% | 19.3% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 53.5% | 27.2% | -26.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
27.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.5–17%
Predicted outcome
Tottenham Hotspur U21
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Tottenham Hotspur U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40