Tottenham Hotspur U21vs
Birmingham City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 8/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tottenham Hotspur U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tottenham Hotspur U21 3-3 Birmingham City U21
Original prediction
Tottenham Hotspur U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 75.8% | 47.7% | -28.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.99 | 13.0% | 24.7% | 11.7 pts |
| Away | 8.04 | 11.3% | 27.7% | 16.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.99 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Tottenham Hotspur U21
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Tottenham Hotspur U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40