Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valtti · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
ToTe are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Valtti are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Valtti hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Suomen Cup, while Valtti holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Valtti
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Valtti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20