Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torslanda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torslanda 3-2 Onsala
Original prediction
Torslanda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 42.9% | 45.1% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.9% | 22.3% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.2% | 32.6% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Torslanda
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Torslanda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TorslandaWWLWL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OnsalaWWLWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TorslandaOnsala
53.3Attack46.7
44.0Defence49.3
41.3Form44.0
47.0Power47.7
1.78xG1.47