Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torslanda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torslanda 2-5 Böljan
Original prediction
Torslanda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.4% | 39.2% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.4% | 23.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.45 | 26.2% | 37.1% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Torslanda
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Torslanda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TorslandaLLLWW
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
BöljanWWLLL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
TorslandaBöljan
50.9Attack49.1
47.4Defence57.9
38.6Form50.9
46.2Power53.4
1.38xG1.49