Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torres · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Torres 1-0 Vado, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Torres 0-0 Vado
Original prediction
Torres
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.7% | 45.7% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.9% | 28.8% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 4.04 | 22.4% | 25.5% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Projected Score
Torres 1–0 Vado
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Torres
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Torres has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TorresDWWLW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
VadoLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TorresVado
48.2Attack50.0
68.4Defence50.0
59.6Form50.0
60.4Power50.0
1.40xG0.74