Torresvs
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Torres 0-0 Guidonia Montecelio 1937, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Torres 2-0 Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.7% | 35.4% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.2% | 30.8% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 32.2% | 33.8% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Projected Score
Torres 0–0 Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.8%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TorresLWDDD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Guidonia Montecelio 1937WDWLD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
TorresGuidonia Montecelio 1937
36.7Attack40.7
60.0Defence63.0
50.0Form48.1
51.9Power53.7
0.89xG0.90