Torresvs
Atalanta II
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 10/11/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torres · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torres 2-1 Atalanta II
Original prediction
Torres
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 44.0% | 38.3% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.4% | 29.8% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.18 | 28.5% | 31.9% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Torres
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Torres has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TorresDDDWW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Atalanta IILWWLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TorresAtalanta II
0.0Attack50.0
100.0Defence50.0
33.3Form50.0
45.3Power50.0
1.11xG0.99