GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Cup - Women · 9/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Torreense W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Torreense W 4-1 Metalist 1925 W

Original prediction

Torreense W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2373.3%49.8%-23.5 pts
Draw5.5916.2%25.0%8.8 pts
Away8.5910.5%25.2%14.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-23.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–07%

Predicted outcome

Torreense W

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

Torreense W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Torreense WWWWWW

GF 19 · GA 2 · avg 3.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Metalist 1925 WLWDWL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Torreense WMetalist 1925 W
100.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence77.8
100.0Form44.4
88.3Power58.6
2.10xG1.36
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