Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vizela · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Torreense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Vizela are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vizela hold a 37.9-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.0% in the Segunda Liga, while Vizela holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vizela
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
15.0%
Vizela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40