Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vizela · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torreense 0-3 Vizela
Original prediction
Vizela
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.5% | 30.9% | -15.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.4% | 28.6% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 25.1% | 40.4% | 15.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Vizela
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Vizela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TorreenseDDLDD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
VizelaDLWLL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
TorreenseVizela
33.3Attack49.0
33.3Defence70.6
0.0Form60.8
23.7Power61.6
0.75xG1.44