Torreensevs
Sunderland
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/15/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sunderland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torreense 1-2 Sunderland
Original prediction
Sunderland
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.43 | 10.1% | 32.3% | 22.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.53 | 17.2% | 25.4% | 8.2 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 72.7% | 42.3% | -30.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-30.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Sunderland
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Sunderland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80