GGOALVIO

Portugal · Segunda Liga · 8/21/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nacional · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Torreense are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Nacional are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nacional hold a 43.4-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 67.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.3% in the Segunda Liga, while Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nacional

Probability

58.3%

Model confidence

58.3%

Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TorreenseLL

GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/3.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
NacionalLLDDD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
TorreenseNacional
33.3Attack64.7
33.3Defence65.7
0.0Form69.6
23.7Power67.1
0.86xG1.92
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