Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nacional · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Torreense are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Nacional are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nacional hold a 43.4-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 67.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.3% in the Segunda Liga, while Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nacional
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/3.00
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00